Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.001113 0.001252 0.001392 0.001543 0.001699 0.001858 0.002030
2025-08-10 0.000817 0.001015 0.001222 0.001451 0.001697 0.001951 0.002232
2025-08-17 0.000622 0.000859 0.001116 0.001409 0.001731 0.002070 0.002450
2025-08-24 0.000463 0.000722 0.001015 0.001359 0.001745 0.002157 0.002627
2025-08-31 0.000360 0.000637 0.000961 0.001353 0.001799 0.002283 0.002839
2025-09-07 0.000297 0.000590 0.000947 0.001385 0.001892 0.002447 0.003089
2025-09-14 0.000225 0.000523 0.000900 0.001376 0.001933 0.002550 0.003268
2025-09-21 0.000176 0.000477 0.000876 0.001389 0.001997 0.002675 0.003470
2025-09-28 0.000141 0.000448 0.000869 0.001419 0.002079 0.002819 0.003690
2025-10-05 0.000101 0.000401 0.000835 0.001415 0.002118 0.002911 0.003850
2025-10-12 0.000071 0.000365 0.000812 0.001421 0.002167 0.003014 0.004021
2025-10-19 0.000052 0.000345 0.000810 0.001451 0.002243 0.003147 0.004225
2025-10-26 0.000032 0.000318 0.000800 0.001479 0.002326 0.003297 0.004460
2025-11-02 0.000003 0.000237 0.000707 0.001396 0.002273 0.003291 0.004519
2025-11-09 NaN 0.000186 0.000650 0.001358 0.002274 0.003345 0.004645
2025-11-16 NaN 0.000137 0.000589 0.001310 0.002259 0.003380 0.004748
2025-11-23 NaN 0.000110 0.000560 0.001304 0.002296 0.003475 0.004919
2025-11-30 NaN 0.000098 0.000560 0.001337 0.002380 0.003625 0.005153
2025-12-07 NaN 0.000075 0.000531 0.001328 0.002410 0.003710 0.005311
2025-12-14 NaN 0.000061 0.000518 0.001341 0.002468 0.003827 0.005505
2025-12-21 NaN 0.000053 0.000518 0.001371 0.002547 0.003969 0.005728
2025-12-28 NaN 0.000038 0.000495 0.001366 0.002580 0.004055 0.005885
2026-01-04 NaN 0.000027 0.000480 0.001372 0.002627 0.004157 0.006058